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‘Lights Out’ manufacturing possible starting late 2020s



According to research company, Lux Research, most manufacturing tasks requiring one or two highly mature robots will be automated between the late 2020s and the early 2030s. However, achieving ‘lights-out’ manufacturing might not be realistic because of the many challenges involved and the lengthy timeline.


Lights-out manufacturing is a methodology in which manufacturing is fully automated and requires no human presence so that the lights and even ventilation can be shut off.


As more tasks become automated across manufacturing, these environments will rely less and less upon manual human labour, with the ultimate goal of lights-out manufacturing.


Achieving lights-out manufacturing is a major goal for many companies, but it might not be realistic due to significant barriers and a prolonged timeline.


Lux released a new report, “The Path to Lights-Out Manufacturing,” exploring the roadmap for automating different types of manufacturing tasks, including the robotics technologies involved, the main drivers and barriers for automation, and a lights-out manufacturing timeline for different manufacturing tasks. The report presents a framework that can be used across all industry verticals to visualize the timeline of lights-out manufacturing moving forward.


In the past five years, there has been a steady rise in activity and interest in lights-out manufacturing from stakeholders. Ideas developed in the late 20th century are now seeing a resurgence because of modern technologies like advanced robotics, computer vision, industrial IoT, machine learning algorithms, and improved computing.


Similarly, funding in robotics and automation in manufacturing has also increased significantly since 2015.


While most of the funding is in the form of VC investments in emerging startups, public companies have also raised millions in post-IPO funding, with North America and Asia being the two biggest investors in robotics and automation for manufacturing.


“Achieving lights-out manufacturing will require the use of robotics technologies to automate physical processes, such as moving materials, cleaning tanks, and inspecting products and assets, alongside software-based automation of logical processes,” said Miraj Mainali, Senior Research Associate at Lux Research.


“While there are dozens of robotics technologies that can automate physical tasks, we have identified the most important ones, including robotic arms, autonomous mobile robots (AMRs), and legged robots, and assigned their average technology maturity based on findings from interviews in addition to our other research in the space.”


In addition to the most influential robotics technologies, Lux also identified the main drivers of and barriers to lights-out manufacturing.


Based on the report’s findings, Lux predicts that most manufacturing tasks requiring one or two highly mature robots will be automated between the late 2020s and the early 2030s. However, highly unstructured tasks like equipment repair and installation will probably always require some human intervention and never be fully automated.


While achieving lights-out manufacturing is the ultimate goal for many manufacturing companies, it might not be realistic because of the many challenges involved and the lengthy timeline.

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